Match Info

Date: 20 May 2021, Thursday


	Strogino Moskva		Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.25
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.64	3.8	3.9
	1.65	3.33	4.97
	1.57	3.75	4.8
	1.57	4.1	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)	3.74 ↑ (3.3)	4.71 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
56.7%

Draw
24.2%

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28.3%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

22.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strogino Moskva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Strogino Moskva - Khimik Arsenal Novomoskovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Recent matches Strogino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Khimik-Arsenal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Strogino is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Strogino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Strogino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.05.21	Ryazan - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
10.05.21	Strogino Moskva - Krasnyy Smolensk	5:0 ✺
03.05.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Strogino Moskva	3:1 ✺
29.04.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Strogino Moskva - Sakhalin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.05.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Salyut Belgorod	0:4 ✺
10.05.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	1:1 ✺
04.05.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Fakel Voronezh 2	8:0 ✺
29.04.21	Kaluga - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	3:1 ✺
23.04.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
20.09.20	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Strogino Moskva	3:1
Russian PFL Center
05.10.19	Strogino Moskva - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:3
27.04.19	Strogino Moskva - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:1
15.09.18	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Strogino Moskva	2:0
27.05.18	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Strogino Moskva	3:0
19.07.17	Strogino Moskva - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	1:0

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