Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk		Fakel Voronezh 2

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.6	3.75	4.5
	1.64	3.45	4.3
	1.67	3.63	4.69
	1.64	3.74	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)	3.63 ↓ (4.1)	4.55 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
55.1%

Draw
24.9%

Fakel Voronezh 2
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

14.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fakel Voronezh 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Voronezh 2 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel Voronezh 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khimik Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Fakel Voronezh 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Khimik-Arsenal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fakel 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Khimik-Arsenal is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.04.21	Kaluga - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	3:1 ✺
23.04.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Krasnyy Smolensk - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.04.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTLT
- Fakel Voronezh 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.04.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
23.04.21	Avangard Kursk - Fakel Voronezh 2	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
12.04.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
06.04.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTTLW

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Fakel Voronezh 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide