Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday


	Strogino Moskva		Rodina Moscow 2

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.45	1.9
	3.52	3.5	1.89	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.51)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
26.5%

Draw
26%

Rodina Moscow 2
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.2%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.5%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rodina Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Strogino Moskva - Rodina Moscow 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 3 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 3 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Strogino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodina 2 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rodina 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rodina 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Strogino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.10.22	Dynamo Bryansk - Strogino Moskva	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Strogino Moskva - Sakhalinets Moscow	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Sakhalin - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
26.09.22	Spartak Tambov - Strogino Moskva	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWW
- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.10.22	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Rodina Moscow 2 - Ryazan	3:0 ✺
02.10.22	Peresvet Domodedovo - Rodina Moscow 2	0:2 ✺
22.09.22	Rodina Moscow 2 - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Rodina Moscow 2 - Sakhalin	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
27.08.22	Rodina Moscow 2 - Strogino Moskva	1:1

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