Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 29

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Strumska Slava Radomir		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.6
	6.27	3.51	1.48
	6.43	3.56	1.5
	6.51	3.53	1.55	Watch
	6.8	3.6	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (3.63)	3.52 ↑ (2.89)	1.52 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strumska Slava Radomir
14.4%

Draw
25.8%

Spartak Varna
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

31.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

31%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strumska Slava Radomir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strumska Slava Radomir's form might have worsened.

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Varna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strumska Slava Radomir than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strumska Slava Radomir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Petkov D. (G) 77. Dilchovski M. 33. Georgiev S. 7. Iliev E. 5. Kostov M. 10. Laskov A. 22. Mitsakov D. 2. Nikolov B. (C) 3. Sandev R. 4. Stoychev L. 8. Yanev G.	89. Videnov N. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 44. Granchov A. 14. Ivey R. 9. Mehmed M. 45. Nachev D. 10. Rumenov R. (C) 31. Semeniv D. 6. Tsvetkov A. 81. Zehirov A.
Substitutes
17. Ademov A. 71. Ivanov M. 18. Kadric A. 99. Rashkov R. (G) 19. Stoilov M. 11. Todorov Y. 9. Vachev T.	7. Babaliev G. 2. Boev V. 23. Georgiev G. (G) 99. Halachev D. 13. Ivanov G. 78. Minkov V. 3. Petrov P. 4. Terziev R. 22. Yanchev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 🟨,
54', 🟥,
57', 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Recent matches Strumska Slava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spartak Varna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Spartak Varna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Strumska Slava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Strumska Slava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strumska Slava Radomir
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Bdin Vidin	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Yantra Gabrovo	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sportist Svoge - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLT
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.04.24	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Spartak Varna - Dunav Ruse	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.10.23	Spartak Varna - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:0
Bulgarian Cup
16.11.22	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	0:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.21	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	1:2
31.07.21	Spartak Varna - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:1
19.10.19	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	3:0

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