Match Info

efbet League - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Kolev K. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.5	13	Watch
	1.2	6	12.5
	1.19	6.1	11.5
	1.15	7.46	16.78
	11.51	1.06	24.50	Watch
	1.2	6.4	11.5	Watch
	1.17	6.4	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.26)	5.7 ↑ (5.33)	14.68 ↑ (9.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
60.8%

Draw
28.3%

Spartak Varna
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

17.2%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA 1948 Sofia's form might have worsened.

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Spartak Varna (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 1 - 50%). Spartak Varna (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sheytanov D. (G) 96. Grivic D. 4. Hoffmann A. 21. Dvali L. 3. Carrion J. 34. Vitanov P. 11. Rusev G. (C) 10. Tsonev B. 20. Sobrero B. 67. Frederic 93. Diallo M.	23. Kovalyov M. (G) 50. Budinov I. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. (C) 2. Magdjinski L. 88. Yordanov D. 17. Marinov T. 8. Ivanov D. 7. Berna 21. Xande 90. Stojanovski G.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 70. Danchev M. 77. Franco E. 94. Iliev A. 8. Magnin Y. 1. Marinov P. (G) 17. Martines J. 2. Medina D. 88. Traore A.	4. Aleksiev I. 11. Georgiev A. 9. Halachev D. 13. Millimono T. 18. Moukachar S. 93. Pahama N. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 1. Shalamanov-Trenkov I. (G) 19. Yanchev E.
Coaches
Stoyanov I.	Hadzievski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Frederic 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Diallo M. ⚽, Rusev G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Berna (Pen),
64', Tsonev B. ↓, Boychev M. ↑,
64', Frederic ↓, Franco E. ↑,
71', Sobrero B. 🟨,
75', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
75', Sobrero B. ↓, Martines J. ↑,
81', Vitanov P. ↓, Magnin Y. ↑,
90', Yordanov D. ↓, Pehlivanov Z. ↑,
90', Stojanovski G. ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
90', Budinov I. ↓, Georgiev A. ↑,
90+4', Boychev M. 🟨,
90+6', Ivanov D. ↓, Yanchev E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 2.

CSKA 1948 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spartak Varna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CSKA 1948 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.09.25	Botev Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0 ✺
15.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Slavia Sofia	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.09.25	Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Spartak Varna - Arda Kardzhali	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.11.24	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
28.07.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:2
03.05.23	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:3
16.10.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.02.20	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1
03.08.19	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:0

Upcoming Matches