Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 15

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Strømsgodset		Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	8.50
	1.28	6.00	7.25
	1.26	6.00	8.00
	1.31	6.43	8.12
	1.28	6.52	7.83	Watch
	1.27	6.35	8.00
	1.26	6.22	8.46	Watch
	1.26	6.00	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	6.22 ↑ (5.26)	7.92 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
73.2%

Draw
15%

Lyn
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

17.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

16.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strømsgodset's performance.

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Strømsgodset - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: Strømsgodset will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lamhauge M. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 5. Sormo B. 3. Dedes V. 8. Krasniqi K. 22. Antonsen K. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 10. Stengel H. (C) 80. Wikheim G. 11. Pingel S.	1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 6. Midtskogen A. 5. Race E. 18. Nilsen H. 21. Skaug J. 24. Fredriksen D. 19. Kallevag O. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.
Substitutes
14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 9. Melkersen E. 19. Skistad A. 71. Valsvik G.	25. Andersen M. (G) 27. Barnett I. 29. Gueye O. 22. Kurtovic W. 7. Monglo I. 17. Nois J. 26. Sawaneh E. 4. Sell W. 30. Sock F.
Coaches
Hoseth M.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Krasniqi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Dedes V. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
62', Skaug J. ↓, Nois J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ⚽,
67', Wikheim G. ↓, Melkersen E. ↑,
67', Vilsvik L. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Hellum A. ⚽, Nilsen H. (A),
81', Antonsen K. ↓, Skistad A. ↑,
81', Pingel S. ↓, Valsvik G. ↑,
82', Fredriksen D. 🟨,
86', Stengel H. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 13).

In recent matches, Strømsgodset has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyn is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Strømsgodset is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stromsgodset: 11.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61:31	30	51
10	Lyn	24	8	4	12	39:49	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.07.26	Hødd - Strømsgodset	4:3 ✺
27.06.26	Strømsgodset - Odd	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Kongsvinger - Strømsgodset	4:4 ✺
14.06.26	Strømsgodset - Raufoss	6:1 ✺
31.05.26	Egersund - Strømsgodset	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWW
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.07.26	Lyn - Åsane	6:2 ✺
27.06.26	Lyn - Hødd	1:4 ✺
19.06.26	Ranheim - Lyn	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	Lyn - Bryne	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Odd - Lyn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

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