Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Haugesund		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.5	1.52
	4.85	4.55	1.58	Watch
	5.54	4.8	1.57
	5.03	4.31	1.58	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.5
	5.13	4.62	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (4.72)	4.53 ↑ (4.12)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
18.2%

Draw
20.9%

Sarpsborg 08
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23.1%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.9%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Haugesund will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Sarpsborg (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Torkildsen J. (G) 25. Hope M. 55. Dia M. 5. Kukleci I. 3. Hamalainen N. 6. Bizoza P. 40. Grindhaug A. 16. Leite B. (C) 8. Hannola P. 17. Karlsen H. V. 37. Innvaer S.	1. Ndiaye M. (G) 32. Wichne E. 2. Koch M. (C) 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 21. Hiim A. 17. Bruseth H. 8. Christiansen S. 10. Tangen H. 7. Sanyang A. 11. Karlsbakk D. 28. Sorli S.
Substitutes
43. Eide L. 36. Helgeland E. 33. Koskela M. 41. Myklebust M. 2. Niyukuri C. 7. Rohd E. 20. Seone I. 66. Traore A. 1. Wichne A. (G)	14. Berget J. 19. Gudjohnsen S. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 31. Jenssen H. (G) 26. Job D. 5. Odegaard M. 20. Reinhardsen P. 23. Sandberg N. 4. Skuseth N.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Michelsen C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Kukleci I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Karlsen H. V. (Pen),
56', Wichne E. 🟨,
66', Karlsen H. V. ↓, Seone I. ↑,
66', Leite B. 🟨,
72', Tangen H. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
72', Hiim A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
73', Sorli S. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
74', Innvaer S. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
75', Leite B. ↓, Koskela M. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Seone I. ⚽,
79', Bruseth H. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
79', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Reinhardsen P. ⚽,
88', Hope M. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Rohd E. ⚽, Niyukuri C. (A),
90+3', 3 - 2, Berget J. ⚽,
90+4', Ndiaye M. 🟥,
90+7', Bizoza P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 0.

Haugesund has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sarpsborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarpsborg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Haugesund: Alvsaker M. (Injury) Bondhus A. (Broken collarbone) Camara I. (Knee Injury) Eskesen J. (Leg Injury) Espejord R. (Thigh Injury) Fischer M. (Injury) Nyhammer T. (Knee Injury) Samuelsen M. (Hip Injury) Solheim V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury) Sher A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Berget J. (Injury) Jeahze M. (Injury) Tebo Uchenna F. (Head Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Haugesund won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.25	Strømsgodset - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Haugesund - Hamarkameratene	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Vålerenga - Haugesund	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	Haugesund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:4 ✺
26.07.25	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
06.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	3:1
18.08.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	2:2
07.07.24	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	1:2
30.07.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	2:1
30.04.23	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	0:0
08.10.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	4:0
24.07.22	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	3:1

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