Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 11

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
World	Onefootball


	Strømsgodset		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.4
				Watch
	2.82	3.9	2.45
				Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.82	3.71	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.31)	3.68 ↑ (3.51)	2.4 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
34.6%

Draw
25.8%

Vålerenga
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strømsgodset's form might have worsened.

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vålerenga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strømsgodset, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	13.6%	72.7%

Strømsgodset - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 3 - 60%). Vålerenga (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Vålerenga (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Strømsgodset (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Strømsgodset (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vålerenga (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Johansen E. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. 4. Westerlund S. 10. Stengel H. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 21. Farji M.	1. Storevik J. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 5. Tshiembe K. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 22. Sjovold S. 29. Ambina F. 15. Hagen E. 24. Strand P. 9. Rijks M. 26. Thorvaldsen F.
Substitutes
27. Dahl F. 14. Enersen O. 8. Krasniqi K. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 84. Skistad A. 5. Sormo B. 39. Spiten-Nysaeter M.	20. Apold-Aasen L. 8. Bjordal H. 80. Brajanac M. 55. Jarl S. 14. Obasi O. 23. Pallas N. 7. Riisnaes M. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 11. Sorensen E.
Coaches
Fagermo D	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Sjovold S. ↓, Bjordal H. ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Rijks M. ⚽, Vinicius Nogueira (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Strand P. ⚽, Rijks M. (A),
73', Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
73', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
83', Taaje J. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
83', Mehnert M. ↓, Spiten-Nysaeter M. ↑,
83', Olsen A. ↓, Jarl S. ↑,
83', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
90+2', Rijks M. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 2.

Strømsgodset has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vålerenga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Bratveit P. (Inactive) Ekeland J. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.06.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Strømsgodset	5:0 ✺
31.05.25	Strømsgodset - Hamarkameratene	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Sandefjord - Strømsgodset	3:2 ✺
16.05.25	Strømsgodset - Bryne	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Strømsgodset - Kristiansund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.06.25	Vålerenga - Molde	2:3 ✺
31.05.25	Tromsø - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Vålerenga - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sandefjord - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.03.25	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	0:1
09.02.24	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.08.23	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	1:3
11.06.23	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	0:1
Club Friendly
17.03.23	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	3:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.10.22	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	4:0
22.05.22	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	3:2

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