The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz B 26.3%
Draw 24.9%
Admira 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
24.1%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
23.5%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Admira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admira than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Admira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sturm Graz B - Admira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lorenz E. (G) 19. Nnamdi K. 15. Roche E. 17. Locker J. 5. Maierhofer B. 21. Grgic M. 31. Pernot B. (C) 33. Lazarre W. 22. Petritsch J. 77. Malone M. 9. Lang N.
1. Steinbauer C. (G) 23. Weberbauer J. 3. Savic S. 8. Gemicibasi T. (C) 22. Holzhacker F. 21. de Wit L. 12. Glitia B. 14. Nyarko B. 19. Djordjevic A. 9. Forst J. 16. Steiner S.
Substitutes
1. Donat N. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 11. Gurmann T. 66. Morgenstern L. 12. Peinhart J. 60. Ploner J. 13. Wolf J.
7. Ajanovic N. 31. Conde S. (G) 6. Feiner F. 20. Lorint D. 36. Tambwe-Kasengele A. 17. Wagner M. 18. Woudstra X.
Coaches
Wurm C.
Suchard H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Forst J. ⚽, Holzhacker F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Djordjevic A. ↓, Ajanovic N. ↑,
61', Grgic M. ↓, Wolf J. ↑,
61', Nnamdi K. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
61', Locker J. ↓, Gurmann T. ↑,
63', Nyarko B. ↓, Lorint D. ↑,
63', Steiner S. ↓, Wagner M. ↑,
70', Malone M. ↓, Peinhart J. ↑,
78', Forst J. ↓, Woudstra X. ↑,
79', Wolf J. 🟨,
80', Petritsch J. ↓, Ploner J. ↑,
82', Lazarre W. 🟨,
83', Weberbauer J. ↓, Tambwe-Kasengele A. ↑,
84', Gemicibasi T. 🟨,
85', Lazarre W. 🟨,
90+2', Geyrhofer N. 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 2, Gemicibasi T. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 2.
Sturm B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Admira has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Admira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Admira is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sturm B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Admira
7
3
0
4
7:8
-1
9
13
Sturm Graz II
7
2
2
3
15:18
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Sturm Graz B - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.16%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.