Match Info

SA State League - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Sturt Lions		Adelaide Blue Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.3	3.55	2.6
	2.25	3.65	2.76
	2.33	3.74	2.56	Watch
	2.29	4.05	2.6	Watch
	2.3	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	3.67 ↓ (3.72)	2.65 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt Lions
40.6%

Draw
24.9%

Adelaide Blue Eagles
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

24.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

23.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Adelaide Blue Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Blue Eagles than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Blue Eagles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sturt Lions is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Blue Eagles is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt Lions
Australian SA State League
10.05.25	Adelaide Vipers - Sturt Lions	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Cumberland United - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Cobras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Adelaide Blue Eagles
Australian SA State League
10.05.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Adelaide Cobras	4:2 ✺
03.05.25	Pontian Eagles - Adelaide Blue Eagles	0:5 ✺
26.04.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Fulham United	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Cove	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
01.06.24	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions	1:4
Australian NPL South Australian
17.08.21	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:1
01.05.21	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions	2:3

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Blue Eagles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide