Match Info
NPL South Australia - Round 8Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Karinya Reserve (Eden Hills)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Sturt Lions |
|
Adelaide United U23 |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.75 |
1.92 |
|
 |
3.33 |
4.16 |
1.9 |
|
 |
7.81 |
5.47 |
1.31 |
 Watch |
 |
3.2 |
3.75 |
1.85 |
|
 |
3.14 |
3.85 |
1.91 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.12 ↑
(2.35) |
4.2 ↑
(3.8) |
1.78 ↓
(2.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sturt Lions
23.3% | Draw
22.8% | Adelaide United U23
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturt Lions's form might have worsened.Adelaide United U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United U23's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturt Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sturt Lions - Adelaide United U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 9', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).In recent matches, Sturt Lions has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Adelaide United U23 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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