Match Info
NPL South Australia - Round 17Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Karinya Reserve (Eden Hills)
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Sturt Lions |
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Playford City Patriots |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.60 |
3.75 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.62 |
3.7 |
2.18 |
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 |
2.7 |
4.05 |
2.26 |
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2.68 |
4.01 |
2.24 |
Watch |
 |
2.65 |
3.85 |
2.18 |
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 |
2.67 |
3.98 |
2.25 |
Watch |
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2.65 |
3.75 |
2.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.75) |
3.87 ↑
(3.55) |
2.22 ↑
(2.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sturt Lions
34.7% | Draw
23.8% | Playford City Patriots
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Playford City Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Playford City Patriots than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Sturt Lions - Playford City Patriots Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Playford City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
