Match Info
NPL South Australia - Round 13Date: 5 June 2026, FridayLocation: Adelaide City Park (Adelaide)
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Adelaide City |
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Sturt Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.73 |
3.90 |
3.80 |
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1.67 |
3.85 |
3.80 |
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1.79 |
4.00 |
3.86 |
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1.86 |
3.7 |
3.83 |
 Watch |
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1.80 |
3.50 |
3.75 |
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1.77 |
3.96 |
3.96 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.66) |
3.82 ↓
(4.16) |
3.83 ↓
(4.24) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide City
51.9% | Draw
24.1% | Sturt Lions
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Adelaide City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - over (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75 - over (1.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (1.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1 - over (1.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5 - over (1.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 53', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide City won 3.Adelaide City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sturt Lions is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Adelaide City is considered a favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Adelaide City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 2.3:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 2.8:0).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Adelaide City | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 27:14 | 13 | 25 |
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| 10 | Sturt Lions | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL South Australian | | | 18.04.26 | Sturt Lions - Adelaide City | 1:0 | | 17.06.23 | Sturt Lions - Adelaide City | 2:2 | | 01.04.23 | Adelaide City - Sturt Lions | 2:0 | | 30.07.22 | Sturt Lions - Adelaide City | 1:4 | | 30.04.22 | Adelaide City - Sturt Lions | 3:0 | | 01.09.21 | Adelaide City - Sturt Lions | 2:0 | | 08.05.21 | Sturt Lions - Adelaide City | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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