Match Info

WA State League - Round 17

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Subiaco		Gosnells City

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.43	4.55	5.15
	1.45	4.74	5.38	Watch
	1.43	4.5	5.63
	1.43	4.5	5.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.8)	4.56 ↑ (3.88)	5.36 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiaco
63.2%

Draw
19.9%

Gosnells City
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

22.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Subiaco's performance.

Gosnells City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gosnells City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiaco than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Subiaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosnells City than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gosnells City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Subiaco - Gosnells City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 🟥,
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Subiaco is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Subiaco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Subiaco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Subiaco AFC
Australian WA State League
12.07.25	Subiaco - Curtin University	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Mandurah City - Subiaco	4:1 ✺
28.06.25	Dianella White Eagles - Subiaco	3:0 ✺
21.06.25	Subiaco - UWA Nedlands	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Subiaco - Kingsley Westside	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT
- Gosnells City FC
Australian WA State League
12.07.25	Gosnells City - Gwelup Croatia	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	Curtin University - Gosnells City	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Kalamunda City - Gosnells City	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Gosnells City - Dianella White Eagles	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Gosnells City - Mandurah City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
04.06.25	Gosnells City - Subiaco	1:4
10.08.24	Gosnells City - Subiaco	2:4
25.05.24	Subiaco - Gosnells City	2:0
Club Friendly
21.02.21	Subiaco - Gosnells City	2:0

Subiaco - Gosnells City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide