Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Subiza		Aoiz

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.85
	1.75	3.43	4.48
	1.15	6.91	15.42	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.71	3.34	4.6
	1.72	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)	6.39 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
59.9%

Draw
24.9%

Aoiz
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

27%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aoiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aoiz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Subiza - Aoiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Navarro L. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, San Miguel E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Subiza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aoiz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Subiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Subiza is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aoiz	5	2	3	0	5:2	3	9
7	Subiza	5	2	1	2	11:8	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
08.02.26	Subiza - San Juan	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Beti Onak - Subiza	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Subiza - Avance Ezcabarte	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ardoi - Subiza	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Subiza - Beti Kozkor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLW
- CD Aoiz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.02.26	Aoiz - Cortes	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	San Juan - Aoiz	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Aoiz - Oberena	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Beti Onak - Aoiz	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Izarra - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTT

Subiza - Aoiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide