Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Ardoi		Subiza

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.88	2.18
	1.39	3.67	10.95	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	3.28	2.98	2.17
	3.2	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.55)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	3.94 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ardoi
37.3%

Draw
35.2%

Subiza
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.2%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Subiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Subiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardoi - Subiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 0.

Recent performances by Ardoi have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Subiza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Subiza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Subiza	5	2	1	2	11:8	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.01.26	Ardoi - San Juan	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Beti Onak - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ardoi - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ardoi - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Beti Kozkor - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTTT
- CD Subiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.01.26	Subiza - Beti Kozkor	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Subiza - Peña Sport	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Egüés - Subiza	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Subiza - Huarte	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cortes - Subiza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.09.25	Subiza - Ardoi	3:1
01.05.24	Ardoi - Subiza	0:3
06.01.24	Subiza - Ardoi	1:0
11.02.23	Subiza - Ardoi	3:1
15.10.22	Ardoi - Subiza	0:1
21.09.19	Subiza - Ardoi	0:1

Ardoi - Subiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide