Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas) 🌤️ ...


	Sud América		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.3	2.95	3
	2.16	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.18	3.16
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.26	3.04	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.05)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	3.19 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sud América
41.9%

Draw
29.6%

Villa Española
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

31.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Villa Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Española, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Sud América - Villa Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sud América will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Villa Española will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sud América: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sud América could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sud América is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sud América won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.05.22	Miramar Misiones - Sud América	3:0 ✺
21.05.22	Sud América - Central Español	2:1 ✺
16.05.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
06.05.22	Cerro - Sud América	3:2 ✺
30.04.22	Sud América - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.22	Villa Española - Cerro	0:1 ✺
20.05.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Villa Española	2:3 ✺
15.05.22	Villa Española - La Luz	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Progreso - Villa Española	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	Villa Española - Rampla Juniors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2
24.05.21	Sud América - Villa Española	2:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.10.20	Villa Española - Sud América	1:0
24.08.20	Sud América - Villa Española	0:4
10.08.19	Sud América - Villa Española	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.09.16	Sud América - Villa Española	1:0

Sud América - Villa Española