Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Bromsgrove Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.4	2.32
	2.62	3.52	2.38
	2.61	3.82	2.32	Watch
	2.57	3.4	2.33
	2.6	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.61)	3.53 ↓ (3.82)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
35.2%

Draw
25.9%

Bromsgrove Sporting
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

24.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

23.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Lewis M. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Pearce L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Shaw B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 2 - 2, Hall K. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Sudbury Town - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.61%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Bromsgrove Sporting - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.11.25	Royston Town - Sudbury Town	3:3 ✺
18.11.25	Sudbury Town - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Sudbury Town - Hereford	1:5 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.25	Harborough Town - Sudbury Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sudbury Town - Barwell	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TWLTL
- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
25.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Quorn	1:5 ✺
22.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Kettering Town	3:0 ✺
18.11.25	Banbury United - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Stourbridge - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.03.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Sudbury Town	3:0
23.11.24	Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0
13.04.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Sudbury Town	0:2
04.11.23	Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0

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