Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Hereford

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.62
	4.87	4.13	1.51
	5.01	3.8	1.57
	4	3.33	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.05)	3.77 ↑ (3.4)	1.62 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
19.6%

Draw
24.2%

Hereford
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.8%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hereford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sudbury Town - Hereford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Lewis M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Osborne S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
73', 1 - 3, Osborne S. ⚽,
81', 1 - 4, Osborne S. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Nto E. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Sudbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hereford is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sudbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sudbury has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hereford is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.25	Harborough Town - Sudbury Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sudbury Town - Barwell	1:3 ✺
04.11.25	Sudbury Town - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sudbury Town - Worcester City	0:6 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sudbury Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLTLW
- Hereford FC
English National League North
08.11.25	Hereford - Southport	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Oxford City - Hereford	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Fylde - Hereford	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Hereford - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTLT

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