Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sudbury Town		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.66
	4	3.75	1.7
	3.81	4.26	1.74
	4.1	3.74	1.71
	4	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.06)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
23%

Draw
23.6%

Mickleover Sports
53.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.2%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sudbury Town's form might have worsened.

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mickleover Sports's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sudbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mickleover Sports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Sudbury is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mickleover is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Mickleover have a series of home games.

Mickleover will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sudbury won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
27.01.24	Leiston - Sudbury Town	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Barwell - Sudbury Town	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Royston Town - Sudbury Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Sudbury Town - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLLW
- Mickleover Sports
English Southern League Central Division
27.01.24	Mickleover Sports - Barwell	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Mickleover Sports - St Ives Town	0:5 ✺
13.01.24	Berkhamsted - Mickleover Sports	0:1 ✺
09.01.24	Mickleover Sports - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Mickleover Sports - AFC Telford United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.09.23	Mickleover Sports - Sudbury Town	5:0

Sudbury Town - Mickleover Sports

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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