Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.45	1.8
	3.79	3.65	1.83
	3.85	3.84	1.82	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.77	3.6	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.74)	3.59 ↑ (3.51)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
24.3%

Draw
25.4%

Alvechurch
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

25.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.9%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Sudbury Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Ilesanmi M. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Tower - King K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Miles F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Sudbury has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alvechurch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alvechurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alvechurch is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18:6	12	21

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Alvechurch: 2.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
17.03.26	Kettering Town - Sudbury Town	6:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sudbury Town - Kettering Town	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Sudbury Town - Stamford	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Sudbury Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLL
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
24.03.26	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Alvechurch - Stamford	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.08.25	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	2:0
25.03.25	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	1:1
02.11.24	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:0
13.01.24	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	0:1
12.08.23	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	1:0

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