Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Sukhothai		Kanchanaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.58	Watch
	2.4	3.52	2.87
	2.19	3.45	2.89	Watch
	2.4	3.54	2.71	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	2.77 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
39.9%

Draw
26.8%

Kanchanaburi
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kanchanaburi (2.02) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Kanchanaburi (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kanchanaburi (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 25. Otton C. 21. Denman A. 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 70. Mateusinho 10. Baggio J. 11. Gildo	26. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 16. Stewart R. 28. Fudsuparp P. 91. Tahrat M. 44. Bardanca 3. Notchaiya P. 30. Townsend A. (C) 19. Oyarzun A. 42. Ratniyorm S. 9. Rodrigues G. 21. Mara M.
Substitutes
8. Aranpiroj R. 35. Chatthong S. 9. Elias 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 23. Kamnet N. 2. Logarwit S. 12. Nussbaum Y. 19. Phatthaphon P. 91. Phranmaen T. 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.	20. Aguero S. 8. Ewerton 47. Kamara A. 11. Kasemkulwirai K. 6. Kumar A. 18. Liorungrueangkit P. 4. Lucero J. 99. Pakkarano N. (G) 10. Samphaodi C. 98. Siripala T. 32. Suttiwiriyakul K. 25. Tanthatemee P.
Coaches
Chalitaporn A.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Stewart R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gildo ↓, Elias ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Baggio J. ⚽, Mateusinho (A),
56', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
60', Oyarzun A. 🟨,
71', Bardanca 🟨,
74', Oyarzun A. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
74', Ratniyorm S. ↓, Liorungrueangkit P. ↑,
74', Tahrat M. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
75', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟨,
77', Liorungrueangkit P. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Kamara A. ⚽,
89', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
90', Mateusinho ↓, Chatthong S. ↑,
90+1', Mara M. ↓, Kasemkulwirai K. ↑,
90+5', Stewart R. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Sukhothai has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kanchanaburi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sukhothai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
01.11.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Sukhothai - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Uthai Thani - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTTT
- Kanchanaburi FC
Thai League 1
01.11.25	Kanchanaburi - Ayutthaya United	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Chiangrai United - Kanchanaburi	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Kanchanaburi - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Thai Port - Kanchanaburi	8:0 ✺
27.09.25	Kanchanaburi - Lamphun Warriors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai FA Cup
10.04.24	Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai	2:0

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