Match Info

3rd Division - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Sundby		ASA Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.40
	2.45	3.45	2.39
	2.32	3.85	2.5
	2.34	3.87	2.49	Watch
	2.25	3.8	2.45
	2.46	3.77	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.95)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	2.46 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sundby
38.3%

Draw
24.7%

ASA Aarhus
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

24.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sundby's performance.

ASA Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASA Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundby than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sundby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASA Aarhus than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASA Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sundby - ASA Aarhus Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sundby will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). ASA will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Sundby has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ASA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sundby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sundby has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	ASA Aarhus	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
9	Sundby	10	3	1	6	14:16	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sundby BK
Danish 3 Division
29.08.26	Ringsted - Sundby	2:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Frederikssund - Sundby	1:2 ET ✺
Danish 3 Division
22.08.26	Sundby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:4 ✺
15.08.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Brønshøj BK - Sundby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL
- ASA Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
28.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Holstebro	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	BK Frem - ASA Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
19.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Randers FC	0:4 ✺
Danish 3 Division
15.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Vanløse	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Ishøj IF - ASA Aarhus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches