Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Sunderland U23		Aston Villa U23

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.85
	3	4.35	1.82
	3.2	3.65	1.83
	3.43	3.72	1.93
	2.25	3.6	2.55
	3.3	3.96	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.65)	3.86 ↑ (3.71)	1.98 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland U23
30.2%

Draw
23.7%

Aston Villa U23
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

24.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

23.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Aston Villa U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U23 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U23 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland U23 won 2.

Sunderland U23 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aston Villa U23 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aston Villa U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sunderland U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland U23
English Premier League 2
01.04.22	Norwich City U23 - Sunderland U23	1:1 ✺
21.03.22	Sunderland U23 - Burnley U23	0:2 ✺
14.03.22	Nottingham Forest U23 - Sunderland U23	3:0 ✺
28.02.22	Sunderland U23 - Stoke City U23	0:3 ✺
21.02.22	Sunderland U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Aston Villa U23
English Premier League 2
01.04.22	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	1:4 ✺
18.03.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	3:0 ✺
11.03.22	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	2:2 ✺
25.02.22	Fulham U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:1 ✺
21.02.22	Aston Villa U23 - Norwich City U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
22.10.21	Aston Villa U23 - Sunderland U23	2:3
01.03.21	Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:3
30.10.20	Aston Villa U23 - Sunderland U23	0:2
06.01.20	Aston Villa U23 - Sunderland U23	4:0
30.08.19	Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:2
04.03.19	Aston Villa U23 - Sunderland U23	1:0
01.10.18	Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23	0:1

Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide