Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Pandzic B. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.4	Watch
	6.75	4.75	1.41
	7.5	4.9	1.38
	6.6	4.7	1.4
	7.84	4.82	1.43
	7	4.33	1.38	Watch
	7.2	4.95	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↑ (7.1)	4.74 ↑ (4.69)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
13.2%

Draw
19.8%

Djurgården
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

20%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

19.4%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sundsvall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	4.2%	79.2%

Sundsvall - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: Djurgården will win (38 of 48 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.68% – 90.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (35.44%), has project points - 22, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Djurgården has the most likely position - 3 (13.73%), has project points - 52, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

This event has small quality 19, importance 43, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 0.

Sundsvall is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Djurgården is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sundsvall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Djurgården is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sundsvall: Hallenius L. (Injury)

There will not play in Djurgården: Kack E. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Club Friendly
19.06.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
23.05.22	Sundsvall - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Norrköping - Sundsvall	5:1 ✺
09.05.22	Sundsvall - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- Djurgårdens IF
Club Friendly
17.06.22	Sirius - Djurgården	3:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.22	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	4:0 ✺
22.05.22	Kalmar - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
16.05.22	Djurgården - Malmö	4:0 ✺
09.05.22	Elfsborg - Djurgården	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.19	Sundsvall - Djurgården	1:4
01.04.19	Djurgården - Sundsvall	2:2
26.09.18	Sundsvall - Djurgården	1:1
29.07.18	Djurgården - Sundsvall	1:1
01.10.17	Sundsvall - Djurgården	0:5
10.07.17	Djurgården - Sundsvall	2:1
06.11.16	Sundsvall - Djurgården	2:5

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