Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	IFK Göteborg		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.5	6.75
	1.4	4.9	7.5
	1.42	4.5	6.6
	1.46	4.79	7.29
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.43	4.7	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	4.66 ↓ (4.82)	6.99 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Göteborg
66.2%

Draw
20.3%

Sundsvall
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

19.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Göteborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	2.1%	10.4%

IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: IFK Göteborg will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).

Göteborg has the most likely position - 9 (12.18%), has project points - 42, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (32.56%), has project points - 24, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 18, importance 31, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göteborg won 2.

Göteborg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sundsvall is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Göteborg is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Göteborg won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Göteborg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.05.22	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	3:1 ✺
15.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	AIK - IFK Göteborg	1:0 ✺
02.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Kalmar	1:2 ✺
25.04.22	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.05.22	Sundsvall - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Norrköping - Sundsvall	5:1 ✺
09.05.22	Sundsvall - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
01.05.22	Sundsvall - AIK	0:2 ✺
25.04.22	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
28.02.21	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.09.19	Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg	0:2
06.07.19	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	2:1
26.10.18	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	1:2
27.05.18	Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg	2:0
05.11.17	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	0:3
22.05.17	Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg	0:4

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