Match Info

Date: 18 July 2022, Monday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		Häcken

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.53	Watch
	5	4.5	1.53
	5.8	4.5	1.52
	4.9	4.5	1.53
	5.87	4.65	1.55
	5.25	4.33	1.47	Watch
	5.4	4.75	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↓ (6.6)	4.57 ↑ (4.46)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
17.5%

Draw
20.6%

Häcken
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

20.9%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

22%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Häcken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	4.9%	88.9%

Sundsvall - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (72 of 81 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.05% – 95.73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 14 (24.77%), has project points - 25, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Häcken has the most likely position - 1 (19.51%), has project points - 55, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a chance of win league (20%).

This event has small quality 21, importance 54, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 0.

Sundsvall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Häcken is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Häcken could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Häcken is a favorite.

There will not play in Sundsvall: Hallenius L. (Injury)

There will not play in Häcken: Friberg E. (Injury) Rasheed J. (Injury) Traore B. (Broken Leg) Trpchevski F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sundsvall: Bengtsson J. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.07.22	Värnamo - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Sundsvall - Malmö	2:1 ✺
26.06.22	Sundsvall - Djurgården	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWLLL
- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.07.22	Mjällby - Häcken	1:2 ✺
03.07.22	Häcken - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Hammarby - Häcken	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.06.22	Örgryte - Häcken	2:2 ✺
16.06.22	Häcken - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.19	Sundsvall - Häcken	0:1
05.05.19	Häcken - Sundsvall	1:0
19.08.18	Sundsvall - Häcken	0:2
07.07.18	Häcken - Sundsvall	3:0
Svenska Cupen
03.03.18	Häcken - Sundsvall	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.08.17	Häcken - Sundsvall	2:0
16.04.17	Sundsvall - Häcken	1:2

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