Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Sundsvall		Umeå

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	3.4
	1.95	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.5	3.85
	2.02	3.48	3.47	Watch
	1.99	3.68	3.38	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.71)	3.6 ↓ (3.9)	3.64 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
48%

Draw
26.1%

Umeå
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sundsvall's form might have worsened.

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umeå's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sundsvall - Umeå Predictions

Users Predictions: Sundsvall will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sundsvall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (G) 11. Tammivuori S. 30. Hallin M. 27. Bahtijar A. 9. Kagayama T. 7. Sandberg T. 23. Aviander H. 6. Manchon M. 20. Bjornler J. 21. Engblom P. (C) 8. Palomino M.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 23. Frigell Jansson L. 5. Hedenquist J. 15. Westin T. 19. Olsson T. 24. Marklund L. 12. Yeboah E. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 28. Persson D. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 25. Gronborg T.
Substitutes
29. Carlos 19. Finey Y. 13. Henareh D. (G) 3. Jelassi M. 5. Olsson D. 15. Sandberg M. 24. Talo N.	14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 9. Haga M. H. 8. Hedstrom J. 4. Ohman L. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 32. Voilas J.
Coaches
Ates E.	Sjostrom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Marklund L. 🟨,
33', Palomino M. (Pen),
45', 1 - 0, Engblom P. ⚽, Kagayama T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Marklund L. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
61', Yeboah E. ↓, Hedstrom J. ↑,
67', Bjornler J. ↓, Sandberg M. ↑,
67', Engblom P. ↓, Carlos ↑,
72', Westin T. 🟨,
74', Gronborg T. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
79', Sandberg T. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Olsson T. ⚽, Voilas J. (A),
84', Palomino M. ↓, Finey Y. ↑,
84', Tammivuori S. ↓, Jelassi M. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Carlos ⚽, Bahtijar A. (A),
88', Olsson T. ↓, Haga M. H. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Carlos ⚽, Finey Y. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 4.

Recent form of Sundsvall has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umeå is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sundsvall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sundsvall is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sundsvall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
24.09.25	Brage - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Falkenberg - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Landskrona - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Sundsvall - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
25.09.25	Umeå - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Östersund - Umeå	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Umeå - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Örebro - Umeå	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.06.25	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1
Svenska Cupen
26.08.21	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1
Swedish Superettan
09.11.20	Umeå - Sundsvall	1:0
16.06.20	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1
Club Friendly
14.03.20	Sundsvall - Umeå	2:1
25.02.18	Sundsvall - Umeå	Canceled
02.02.13	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1

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