Match Info

Superettan - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, Disney+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.6
	1.78	3.9	4.05	Watch
	1.81	3.97	4.07
	1.94	3.57	3.64	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.76	3.98	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	3.77 ↓ (4.03)	3.83 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
51%

Draw
24.7%

Umeå
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Örebro - Umeå Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örebro: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Örebro (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 12. Salihovic D. 3. Baffoe J. 5. Modig J. 11. Kroon S. 6. Bajrovic M. 16. Soderstrom H. 21. Amin S. 7. Andersson E. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 99. Yasin A.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 28. Persson D. 5. Hedenquist J. 26. Ekman D. 19. Olsson T. 23. Frigell Jansson L. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 11. Tot Wikstrom E. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 25. Gronborg T.
Substitutes
19. Asumang B. 24. Dukhan W. 18. Hrastovina E. 1. Pahlsson M. (G) 26. Sandberg V. 10. Tipura S. 9. Yakoub A.	16. Bangala D. 73. Forsman S. 9. Haga M. H. 4. Ohman L. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 32. Voilas J. 12. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Nilsson B.	Sjostrom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Bajrovic M. ↓, Sandberg V. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Persson D. ⚽, Yiriyon Yaw G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Holmberg K. ⚽, Kroon S. (A),
72', Baffoe J. ↓, Asumang B. ↑,
72', Andersson E. ↓, Yakoub A. ↑,
76', Frigell Jansson L. ↓, Bangala D. ↑,
79', Gronborg T. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
89', Soderstrom H. ↓, Tipura S. ↑,
90', Lindmark S. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Umeå may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Örebro is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Örebro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
17.08.25	Örebro - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
12.08.25	Västerås SK - Örebro	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Örebro - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Sundsvall - Örebro	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Umeå - Örebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTTT
- Umeå FC
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Karlstad - Umeå	2:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Umeå - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Trelleborg - Umeå	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Umeå - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Brage - Umeå	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
19.07.25	Umeå - Örebro	1:1

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