Match Info

Superettan - Round 23

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Jamtkraft Arena (Ostersund)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Östersund		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.1	Watch
	1.65	4.05	4.45
	1.68	4.25	4.8
	1.22	5.59	13.54	Watch
	1.67	4.15	4.53	Watch
	1.55	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)	4.37 ↑ (4.3)	5.99 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Östersund
61.8%

Draw
22.1%

Umeå
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

21.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

20.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Östersund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umeå could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Östersund - Umeå Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Östersund (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Östersund will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Forsell R. (G) 2. Enemark C. 23. Suljic A. (C) 5. Anyanwu S. 28. Adjoumani Y. 10. Marklund S. 16. Sporrong A. 15. Granstrom G. 6. Edqvist A. 14. Ali J. 25. Amatkarijo C.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 15. Westin T. 26. Ekman D. 5. Hedenquist J. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 25. Gronborg T. 9. Haga M. H. 10. Bjorgolfsson E.
Substitutes
32. Croon M. (G) 27. Ghanoum Z. 11. Hopcutt J. 4. Johansson T. 9. Kirby J. 26. Morfelt C. 20. Oluwayemi M.	14. Cederblad E. 23. Frigell Jansson L. 24. Marklund L. 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 32. Voilas J. 12. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Livani K.	Sjostrom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Amatkarijo C. ⚽, Marklund S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Marklund S. (Pen),
52', 3 - 0, Ali J. ⚽, Adjoumani Y. (A),
55', Haga M. H. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
55', Persson D. ↓, Marklund L. ↑,
68', Ali J. ↓, Hopcutt J. ↑,
73', Marklund L. 🟨,
81', Adjoumani Y. ↓, Johansson T. ↑,
81', Granstrom G. ↓, Ghanoum Z. ↑,
81', Westin T. ↓, Frigell Jansson L. ↑,
82', Edqvist A. ↓, Oluwayemi M. ↑,
85', Sporrong A. 🟨,
88', Gronborg T. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
89', Yiriyon Yaw G. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
90+2', Anyanwu S. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Östersund has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umeå has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Östersund is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Östersund won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
13.09.25	Örebro - Östersund	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Östersund - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Varbergs BoIS - Östersund	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Täby - Östersund	0:1 penalties ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Östersund - Sundsvall	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTWL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Umeå - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Örebro - Umeå	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Karlstad - Umeå	2:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Umeå - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.04.25	Umeå - Östersund	2:2

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