Match Info

Superettan - Round 30

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Sundsvall		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.91
	3.4	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.52	3.9	2.04
	3.79	3.93	1.77	Watch
	3.46	3.72	1.94	Watch
	3.15	3.7	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.85)	3.79 ↓ (3.96)	1.92 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
26.9%

Draw
24.5%

Örgryte
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

23.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.8%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Örgryte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sundsvall - Örgryte Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sundsvall (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sundsvall (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sundsvall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (G) 30. Hallin M. 24. Talo N. 18. Forsberg L. 5. Olsson D. 9. Kagayama T. 6. Manchon M. 23. Aviander H. 15. Sandberg M. 21. Engblom P. (C) 8. Palomino M.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 3. Azulay J. 25. Renecke W. 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C. 23. Parker-Price O. 19. Andreasson A. 15. Dahlqvist I. 11. Christoffersson N. 10. Barkroth N.
Substitutes
20. Bjornler J. 29. Carlos 19. Finey Y. 13. Henareh D. (G) 3. Jelassi M. 2. Pantelidis A. 11. Tammivuori S.	9. Andersson L. 16. Dahlqvist H. 6. Dyrestam M. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 8. Mujanic A. 12. Samuelsson L. (G)
Coaches
Ates E.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
63', Olsson D. ↓, Tammivuori S. ↑,
63', Palomino M. ↓, Finey Y. ↑,
63', Engblom P. ↓, Carlos ↑,
68', Talo N. 🟨,
68', Barkroth N. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,
68', Andreasson A. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
68', Talo N. ↓, Jelassi M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Jelassi M. ⚽, Finey Y. (A),
81', Parker-Price O. ↓, Karlsson M. ↑,
81', Christoffersson N. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
88', Sandberg M. ↓, Bjornler J. ↑,
90+4', Manchon M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Örgryte is Qualified for Allsvenskan (Promotion )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Sundsvall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Örgryte will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sundsvall won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sundsvall - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.19%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
01.11.25	Helsingborg - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sundsvall - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLW
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
01.11.25	Örgryte - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Örgryte - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Falkenberg - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
06.10.25	Sandviken - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.04.25	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:0
26.10.24	Sundsvall - Örgryte	1:1
14.06.24	Örgryte - Sundsvall	1:1
30.10.23	Sundsvall - Örgryte	1:0
23.05.23	Örgryte - Sundsvall	1:0
06.09.21	Sundsvall - Örgryte	0:1
22.05.21	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:2

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