Match Info

Superettan - Round 26

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.95
	2.28	3.35	2.98
	2.29	3.5	3.21
	1.43	4.64	6.43	Watch
	2.26	3.36	3	Watch
	2.15	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)	3.59 ↑ (3.58)	3.49 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
45.5%

Draw
26.9%

Sundsvall
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Trelleborg - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sundsvall will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trelleborg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Trelleborg (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Trelleborg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Trelleborg (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. 15. Godwin E. 7. Andersson J. 24. Christiansson V. 22. Martinsson F. 6. Wendt K. 17. Bohman F. 45. Dalugge Z.	1. Olsson J. (C) 3. Jelassi M. 30. Hallin M. 24. Talo N. 11. Tammivuori S. 9. Kagayama T. 23. Aviander H. 6. Manchon M. 8. Palomino M. 19. Finey Y. 29. Carlos
Substitutes
16. Asani A. 50. Brandin O. 26. Kack J. 25. Lofberg E. 14. Nehme A. 5. Ogwuche A. 8. Ruuska O.	25. Baah C. 21. Engblom P. 13. Henareh D. (G) 5. Olsson D. 2. Pantelidis A. 15. Sandberg M.
Coaches
Haynes K.	Ates E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Andersson J. ⚽, Christiansson V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tammivuori S. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
50', Jelassi M. 🟨,
59', Aviander H. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Palomino M. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Dalugge Z. ⚽, Horberg F. (A),
67', Carlos ↓, Engblom P. ↑,
74', Palomino M. ↓, Sandberg M. ↑,
74', Jelassi M. ↓, Pantelidis A. ↑,
75', Andersson J. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
75', Dalugge Z. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
81', Talo N. ↓, Baah C. ↑,
85', Bohman F. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
90', Hallin M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 1.

Trelleborg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sundsvall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.8:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
29.09.25	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	4:1 ✺
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Trelleborg - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Brage - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
29.09.25	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Brage - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Falkenberg - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Landskrona - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.06.25	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	4:2
28.07.24	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	2:1
27.05.24	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	3:2
13.08.23	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	1:1
01.05.23	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	3:4
29.09.21	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	2:0
05.06.21	Trelleborg - Sundsvall	1:0

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