Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 21

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Samson Siasia Sports Stadium (Yenagoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Bayelsa United		Sunshine Stars

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	6.2
	1.61	3.14	5.48
	1.63	3.27	5.98	Watch
	1.59	3.3	5.99
	1.57	3.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.38)	3.26 ↓ (3.91)	5.97 ↓ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayelsa United
57%

Draw
27.8%

Sunshine Stars
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

23.4%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

18%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayelsa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayelsa United's form might have worsened.

Sunshine Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayelsa United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunshine Stars than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Bayelsa United - Sunshine Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Godgift E. (G) 7. Abdullahi R. 23. Auwal S. 5. Biriduba G. (C) 28. Biweribo T. 10. Daniel S. 27. Emo J. 14. Jawad M. 29. Ogundare A. 13. Wisdom M. 3. Yusuf I.	23. Edafe V. (G) 19. Abdulrazak S. 11. Adebayo W. 25. Ahmadu L. 16. Amankwe E. 13. Chukwude S. 5. Danlami A. 24. Iwundu C. (C) 2. Ogechukwu O. 33. Olowoshile Y. 30. Onwuasonaya U.
Substitutes
2. Amedu G. 24. Clark F. 35. Clinton A. E. (G) 9. Foluwa A. 4. Loveday S. 20. Malik K. 19. Tombiri B. 11. Yazid A.	35. Adebayo A. 17. Ajagbe A. 26. Amia K. 29. Elum H. C. 12. Erukusin J. 18. Matthew A. 36. Matthew S. 21. Ofori E. (G) 28. Okeke V.
Coaches
Bosso L.	Bala A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Ogba I. ⚽,
20', 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Adebayo W. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent matches Bayelsa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sunshine Stars is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bayelsa is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayelsa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bayelsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
25.01.25	Abia Warriors - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Remo Stars - Bayelsa United	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Bayelsa United - Akwa United	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW
- Sunshine Stars
Nigerian Premier League
25.01.25	Sunshine Stars - Ikorodu City	4:3 ✺
29.12.24	Ikorodu City - Sunshine Stars	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Niger Tornadoes - Sunshine Stars	4:1 ✺
11.12.24	Enyimba - Sunshine Stars	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Sunshine Stars - Shooting Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
08.09.24	Sunshine Stars - Bayelsa United	3:0
07.04.24	Sunshine Stars - Bayelsa United	1:1
30.04.23	Bayelsa United - Sunshine Stars	2:1
05.02.23	Sunshine Stars - Bayelsa United	1:0
12.07.15	Sunshine Stars - Bayelsa United	2:0

Bayelsa United - Sunshine Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide