Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 19

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)

Referee: Idris O. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Ikorodu City		Sunshine Stars

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.55	7.4
	1.49	3.27	8.9	Watch
	1.43	3.75	7.5
	1.46	3.55	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	7.8 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
62.5%

Draw
25.8%

Sunshine Stars
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

26.7%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

17%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sunshine Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ikorodu City than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ikorodu City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Stars than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunshine Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ikorodu City - Sunshine Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Faith J. (G) 7. Adelani S. 11. Alade S. 35. Ayemwenre R. 22. Freedom M. 10. Harrison Uzondu A. 36. Ngenge L. 5. Ohaegbulam C. P. 17. Olatunji A. 19. Solomon E. 18. Taiwo S.	21. Ofori E. (G) 35. Adebayo A. 8. Awosanmi P. 9. Elmer A. 29. Ibrahim S. 24. Iwundu C. (C) 30. Mayi S. 32. Nnaemeka A. 2. Ogechukwu O. 33. Olowoshile Y. 14. Suraj I.
Substitutes
33. Adio G. 20. Aina O. (G) 15. Ayomide C. 14. Chinonso C. 8. Gidado T. 23. Moses S. 30. Onwe K.	19. Adewale Y. 17. Ajagbe A. 36. Amid I. 15. Chukwude S. 12. Erukusin J. 22. Ishola A. (G) 20. Olufemi O. 13. Osahon O. 4. Umar A.
Coaches
Aweroro N.	Bala A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Adelani S. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Iwundu C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alade S. ↓, Ayomide C. ↑,
60', Adelani S. ↓, Ojetoye W. ↑,
69', Solomon E. ↓, Moses S. ↑,
78', Freedom M. ↓, Chinonso C. ↑,
90+13', 2 - 1, Ayemwenre R. (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 14).

Recent matches Ikorodu City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunshine Stars is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunshine Stars could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ikorodu City is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
22.12.24	Abia Warriors - Ikorodu City	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Ikorodu City - Remo Stars	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Ikorodu City - Akwa United	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Ikorodu City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWT
- Sunshine Stars
Nigerian Premier League
15.12.24	Niger Tornadoes - Sunshine Stars	4:1 ✺
11.12.24	Enyimba - Sunshine Stars	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Sunshine Stars - Shooting Stars	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Katsina United - Sunshine Stars	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Sunshine Stars - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT

Ikorodu City - Sunshine Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide