Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 9

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Super Nova 2		Valmiera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.85	1.75	Watch
	5.11	4.04	1.54	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.53
	3.53	4	1.8	Watch
	3.47	3.86	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.5)	3.93 ↑ (3.85)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova 2
22.4%

Draw
23.2%

Valmiera
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

22.8%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Super Nova 2 - Valmiera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Super Nova 2 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Valmiera will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)

In recent matches, Super Nova 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valmiera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valmiera could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	24	17	5	2	66:26	40	56
8	Super Nova 2	24	7	8	9	33:36	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova 2
Latvian 1 Liga
13.05.26	Smiltene - Super Nova 2	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Rēzekne	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Super Nova 2 - Leevon PPK	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Skanstes - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLT
- Valmiera FK
Latvian 1 Liga
16.05.26	Riga Mariners - Valmiera	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Valmiera - JDFS Alberts	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Metta - Valmiera	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Valmiera - Rēzekne	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Mārupe - Valmiera	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWW

Super Nova 2 - Valmiera