Match Info

Premiership - Round 30

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport OTT 6
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 6
South-africa	SuperSport Football, SuperSport OTT 6


	Supersport United		Richards Bay

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.85	4.5
	1.81	2.95	5.2
	1.76	3.16	5.7
	1.76	3.01	5.3	Watch
	1.95	2.75	4.8
	1.79	2.93	5.48
	1.81	2.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)	5.17 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Supersport United
50.6%

Draw
31.5%

Richards Bay
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Supersport United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Supersport United - Richards Bay Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Supersport United (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Supersport United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Supersport United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Supersport United (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mbanjwa T. (G) 3. Hlatshwayo T. (C) 4. Sanoka P. 33. Ndebele S. 2. Mobbie N. 18. Poggenpoel B. 8. Ndlovu S. 24. Lakay L. 19. Rapoo N. 7. Grobler B. 27. Saile C.	16. Magoola S. (G) 2. Gcaba F. 25. Mcineka S. (C) 72. Mabua T. 47. Mntungwa S. 33. Ngema W. 37. Zulu S. 17. Gumede T. 21. Mhlongo L. 9. Mbuthuma Y. 35. Ndelu T.
Substitutes
25. Ayer Boya K. 29. Baliti A. 11. Dzvukamanja T. 20. Goss R. (G) 35. Maboe L. 36. Matodzi T. 38. Moralo G. 32. Nurkovic S. 15. Pule M.	27. Bomelo N. 23. Figuareido J. 8. Mdantsane M. 49. Mkhabela N. 3. Ndaba N. 46. Nziamnde O. 13. Nzimande O. 1. Otieno I. (G) 30. Thikazi M.
Coaches
Hunt G.	Zothwane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Mbuthuma Y. ⚽, Ngema W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gcaba F. ↓, Nzimande O. ↑,
46', Magoola S. ↓, Otieno I. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Gumede T. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
62', Mobbie N. ↓, Matodzi T. ↑,
62', Lakay L. ↓, Maboe L. ↑,
66', Saile C. ↓, Nurkovic S. ↑,
83', Ndelu T. ↓, Mdantsane M. ↑,
84', Rapoo N. ↓, Pule M. ↑,
90', Gumede T. ↓, Mdunge A. ↑,
90+1', Mdantsane M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Supersport United won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Supersport United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Supersport United is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Supersport United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Supersport United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Supersport United
South African Premier Soccer League
20.05.25	Supersport United - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Stellenbosch - Supersport United	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Supersport United - Chippa United	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Polokwane City - Supersport United	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Marumo Gallants - Supersport United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWTT
- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
17.05.25	Richards Bay - Lamontville Golden Arrows	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	TS Galaxy - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
30.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	AmaZulu - Richards Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
06.12.24	Richards Bay - Supersport United	0:1
South African Nedbank Cup
16.03.24	Richards Bay - Supersport United	1:3
South African Premier Soccer League
30.12.23	Richards Bay - Supersport United	3:1
05.08.23	Supersport United - Richards Bay	2:0
22.01.23	Supersport United - Richards Bay	1:1
24.08.22	Richards Bay - Supersport United	0:1

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