Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 2 - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 5


	Suphanburi		Chainat

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.03	Watch
	3.45	2.75	2.15
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.52	2.96	2.1
	3.5	3.1	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (4.09)	3.04 ↓ (3.43)	2.04 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suphanburi
25.8%

Draw
29.8%

Chainat
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suphanburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chainat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chainat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suphanburi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chainat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suphanburi - Chainat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Jittabud T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 🟥,
56', 0 - 2, Mbarga E. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Phimpsang C. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Rungrueang S. (Pen),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suphanburi won 3.

Suphanburi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chainat is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chainat will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Chainat to win the game is with odds 2.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Suphanburi won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Suphanburi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suphanburi FC
Thai League 2
30.11.24	Lampang - Suphanburi	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Suphanburi - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Suphanburi - Chiangmai United	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Suphanburi - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Kanchanaburi - Suphanburi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
30.11.24	Chainat - Nakhon Si United	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Trat - Chainat	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Chonburi - Chainat	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Chainat - Sisaket United	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Chainat - Nakhon Ratchasima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
10.02.24	Suphanburi - Chainat	2:1
07.10.23	Chainat - Suphanburi	1:2
29.01.23	Suphanburi - Chainat	1:3
11.09.22	Chainat - Suphanburi	2:0
Thai League 1
29.06.19	Suphanburi - Chainat	1:0
23.02.19	Chainat - Suphanburi	0:0
07.10.18	Suphanburi - Chainat	1:2

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