Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Suphanburi		Chonburi

	1	X	2
	7	4.8	1.32
	4	3.95	1.67
	9.08	6.03	1.23
	8.92	5.93	1.24	Watch
	9.95	6	1.2
	3.85	3.75	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↑ (3.85)	5.08 ↑ (3.75)	1.38 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suphanburi
13.2%

Draw
18.6%

Chonburi
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.5%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.9%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suphanburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suphanburi's form might have worsened.

Chonburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chonburi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suphanburi than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suphanburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chonburi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Suphanburi - Chonburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Vander Luis ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Suphanburi is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suphanburi won 1.

Suphanburi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chonburi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chonburi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chonburi is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Suphanburi won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:23 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Suphanburi won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.7:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Chonburi - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 53.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suphanburi FC
Thai League 2
19.04.25	Bangkok FC - Suphanburi	3:2 ✺
Thai FA Cup
09.04.25	Suphanburi - Ratchaburi	1:7 ✺
Thai League 2
06.04.25	Suphanburi - Mahasarakham	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Chainat - Suphanburi	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Suphanburi - Lampang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLLT
- Chonburi FC
Thai League 2
18.04.25	Chonburi - Pattaya United	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Chanthaburi - Chonburi	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Chonburi - Police Tero	4:2 ✺
30.03.25	Trat - Chonburi	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Chonburi - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
09.08.24	Chonburi - Suphanburi	4:0
Thai League 1
20.02.22	Suphanburi - Chonburi	2:1
10.10.21	Chonburi - Suphanburi	1:0
28.02.21	Chonburi - Suphanburi	4:1
Thai FA Cup
03.02.21	Chonburi - Suphanburi	3:0
Thai League 1
18.10.20	Suphanburi - Chonburi	0:0
20.07.19	Chonburi - Suphanburi	0:0

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