Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday


	Surnadal IL		Byåsen

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.38
	5.31	4.71	1.4
	5.31	4.71	1.4
	5.65	5	1.39
	6	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (3.82)	4.88 ↑ (4.16)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surnadal IL
16.1%

Draw
18.6%

Byåsen
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

21.6%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

20.7%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surnadal IL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Surnadal IL's form might have worsened.

Byåsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Byåsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Surnadal IL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Byåsen than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Byåsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Surnadal IL - Byåsen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Johansen P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Horten J. ⚽,
58', 0 - 3, Johansen P. ⚽,
86', 0 - 4, Kruger M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Surnadal have a series of guest games.

In this match Byåsen is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
08.06.24	Verdal - Surnadal IL	5:0 ✺
01.06.24	Surnadal IL - Mosjøen	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Surnadal IL	3:2 ✺
20.05.24	Orkla FK - Surnadal IL	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Tiller - Surnadal IL	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWL
- Byåsen
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
08.06.24	Byåsen - Nardo	1:2 ✺
03.06.24	Rosenborg II - Byåsen	0:3 ✺
25.05.24	Byåsen - Tiller	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Melhus - Byåsen	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Byåsen - Trygg Lade	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTL

Surnadal IL - Byåsen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide