Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday


	Surnadal IL		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	2.62	4.21	2.06
	2.67	4.37	2.06	Watch
	2.8	4.15	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.73)	4.24 ↓ (4.29)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surnadal IL
33.8%

Draw
21.5%

Lillestrøm 2
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

21.1%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

20.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Surnadal IL - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Ntiso A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Saeter A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Woxen H. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Kvande V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 3, Hagen H. ⚽,
56', 2 - 4, Woxen H. ⚽,
65', 3 - 4, Smevoll S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lillestrøm 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lillestrøm 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Surnadal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
07.09.24	Stabæk 2 - Surnadal IL	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Surnadal IL - Rana	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Mosjøen - Surnadal IL	3:4 ✺
17.08.24	Surnadal IL - Trygg Lade	2:5 ✺
10.08.24	Byåsen - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWLT
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
08.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Rana - Lillestrøm 2	4:0 ✺
19.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Mosjøen	6:0 ✺
10.08.24	Verdal - Lillestrøm 2	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Surnadal IL	3:2

Surnadal IL - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide