Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Surnadal IL		Orkla FK

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	2.8
	2	4	3
	1.98	3.7	2.91
	2	3.84	2.98
	2	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.43)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surnadal IL
45.5%

Draw
23.6%

Orkla FK
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Surnadal IL's performance.

Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orkla FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Surnadal IL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orkla FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Surnadal IL - Orkla FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Surnadal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orkla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Surnadal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
15.09.24	Surnadal IL - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
07.09.24	Stabæk 2 - Surnadal IL	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Surnadal IL - Rana	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Mosjøen - Surnadal IL	3:4 ✺
17.08.24	Surnadal IL - Trygg Lade	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWL
- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
15.09.24	Orkla FK - Mosjøen	3:4 ✺
08.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Orkla FK - Nardo	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	Orkla FK - Verdal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.05.24	Orkla FK - Surnadal IL	1:3

Surnadal IL - Orkla FK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide