Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Surnadal IL		Strømsgodset 2

	1	X	2
	2.17	4.7	2.25
	2.32	4.2	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.66)	4.45 ↑ (4.28)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surnadal IL
40%

Draw
20.2%

Strømsgodset 2
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

21.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

21.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Surnadal IL's performance.

Strømsgodset 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strømsgodset 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Surnadal IL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset 2 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Surnadal IL - Strømsgodset 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Todalshaug S. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Kvande V. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Gjul V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
60', 3 - 1, Lindahn E. ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Myrvang H. ⚽,
79', 4 - 2, Smevoll S. ⚽,
86', 5 - 2, Roen A. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 2, Kvande V. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Surnadal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Strømsgodset 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Surnadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Surnadal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
30.09.24	Rosenborg II - Surnadal IL	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Surnadal IL - Orkla FK	5:1 ✺
15.09.24	Surnadal IL - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
07.09.24	Stabæk 2 - Surnadal IL	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Surnadal IL - Rana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTL
- Strømsgodset IF 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
28.09.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Orkla FK	4:2 ✺
15.09.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Rana	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Nardo - Strømsgodset 2	5:2 ✺
31.08.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Byåsen	6:0 ✺
26.08.24	Melhus - Strømsgodset 2	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.04.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Surnadal IL	2:1

Surnadal IL - Strømsgodset 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide