Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 30

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Seymour Shaw Park (Sutherland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Sutherland Sharks		SD Raiders

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.70	3.75	1.78
	3.20	3.45	1.93
	3.60	4.09	1.92
	3.07	3.96	2.03	Watch
	3.50	4.10	1.77
	3.83	3.89	1.82	Watch
	3.65	3.60	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.08)	3.83 ↑ (3.4)	1.87 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutherland Sharks
26.4%

Draw
24.1%

SD Raiders
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutherland Sharks's form might have worsened.

SD Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Raiders's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Raiders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sutherland Sharks - SD Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Sutherland Sharks is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Raiders has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Raiders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sutherland Sharks won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
22.08.26	Sutherland Sharks - St. George City	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sutherland Sharks - Wollongong Wolves	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTWW
- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
22.08.26	North West Sydney Spirit - SD Raiders	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - SD Raiders	3:1 ✺
Australian Cup
11.08.26	SD Raiders - Macarthur FC	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	SD Raiders - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	St George Saints - SD Raiders	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
16.05.26	SD Raiders - Sutherland Sharks	2:2

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