Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Seymour Shaw Park (Sutherland)


	Sutherland Sharks		Marconi Stallions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.65	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.85	1.67
	3.91	3.61	1.84	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.67
	4.37	3.72	1.66	Watch
	3.3	3.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.02)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	1.72 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutherland Sharks
22%

Draw
25.3%

Marconi Stallions
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutherland Sharks's form might have worsened.

Marconi Stallions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marconi Stallions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marconi Stallions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Marconi Stallions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marconi Stallions is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland Sharks won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
24.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Sutherland Sharks	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - Manly United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWW
- Marconi Stallions
Australian NPL NSW
25.04.26	Marconi Stallions - Manly United	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	St. George City - Marconi Stallions	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Marconi Stallions - SD Raiders	6:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sydney United - Marconi Stallions	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
31.08.25	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	3:0
17.05.25	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	0:2
22.06.24	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	3:3
16.03.24	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	1:2
01.07.23	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	0:0
18.03.23	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	0:2
21.05.22	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	2:1

Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide