Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 10

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Seymour Shaw Park (Sutherland)


	Sutherland Sharks		Rockdale Ilinden

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.08	Watch
	2.84	3.64	2.23
	2.88	3.41	2.30	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.77	3.5	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.89)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	2.2 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutherland Sharks
32.2%

Draw
26.4%

Rockdale Ilinden
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.9%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Rockdale Ilinden have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Rockdale Ilinden has had a series of home games.

Rockdale Ilinden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 24:43. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland Sharks won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 1.1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
04.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Sutherland Sharks	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - Manly United	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - University of New South Wales	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL
- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
05.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St George Saints	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney Olympic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
29.06.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	1:2
16.03.25	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	2:3
11.08.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	1:1
04.05.24	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	0:3
17.06.23	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	0:1
04.03.23	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	2:0
10.07.22	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	3:2

Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide