Match Info

Montenegrin Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Gradski (Nikšić)


	Sutjeska		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.95	3.20
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.08	3.18	3.35
	2.08	3.25	3.29
	1.99	3.1	3.05
	2.03	3.15	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)	3.1 ↑ (2.96)	3.26 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutjeska
43.6%

Draw
28.9%

Dečić Tuzi
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

30.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

29.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutjeska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Dečić Tuzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dečić Tuzi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutjeska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dečić Tuzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sutjeska (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutjeska won 4.

Sutjeska has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dečić has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sutjeska may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Sutjeska is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sutjeska has recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:18 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sutjeska against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sutjeska - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 48.63%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutjeska FK
Montenegrin First League
10.10.26	Budućnost Podgorica - Sutjeska	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Sutjeska - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Petrovac - Sutjeska	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWT
- FK Dečić Tuzi
Montenegrin First League
20.09.26	Dečić Tuzi - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Dečić Tuzi - Petrovac	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Mladost Donja Gorica - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Dečić Tuzi - Jezero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
13.09.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	2:0
16.05.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	3:0
15.03.26	Dečić Tuzi - Sutjeska	1:2
Montenegrin Cup
26.11.25	Dečić Tuzi - Sutjeska	2:1
Montenegrin First League
22.11.25	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	3:1
17.09.25	Dečić Tuzi - Sutjeska	3:1
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	0:3

Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide