Match Info

Date: 8 July 2021, Thursday


	Sutjeska		Gagra

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.5	Watch
	1.45	3.75	6.5
	1.54	3.95	4.6
	1.53	3.7	5.55
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.56	4.2	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)	3.92 ↓ (4.13)	5.6 ↓ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutjeska
60.6%

Draw
23.2%

Gagra
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.9%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

11.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutjeska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutjeska's form might have worsened.

Gagra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutjeska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gagra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Sutjeska - Gagra Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sutjeska will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Gagra will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sutjeska: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - DG arena.

Recent matches Sutjeska is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gagra is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sutjeska could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sutjeska is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutjeska FK
Club Friendly
24.06.21	Sutjeska - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:1 ✺
Montenegrin First League
25.05.21	Sutjeska - Titograd Podgorica	1:2 ✺
19.05.21	Podgorica - Sutjeska	0:4 ✺
14.05.21	Rudar Pljevlja - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
09.05.21	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWWL
- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
01.07.21	Chikhura Sachkhere - Gagra	0:4 ✺
27.06.21	Gagra - Merani Martvili	1:1 ✺
23.06.21	Gagra - Gareji Sagarejo	3:0 ✺
18.06.21	Sioni Bolnisi - Gagra	0:1 ✺
12.06.21	Gagra - Shevardeni Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Sutjeska - Gagra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide