The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gagra 42.9%
Draw 28%
Gareji Sagarejo 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
28%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.8%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gagra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gagra - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Siukaev A. (G) 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 25. Wanderson 40. Claudinei 27. Skrypnyk I. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 18. Zoidze S. 26. Ardazishvili R. 9. Mujiri D. 33. Kharebashvili G.
1. Kutaladze L. (G) 13. Galakhvaridze N. (C) 5. Gabadze G. 3. Kamladze I. 2. Mosashvili B. 14. Parunashvili L. 21. Dzebniauri T. 8. Tsetskhladze T. 20. Kukhianidze S. 34. Kacharava N. 19. Ekongolo F.
Substitutes
29. Adeyeye R. 3. Chochia O. 7. Gagnidze O. 11. Gotsiridze D. 30. Nadareishvili G. 16. Osikmashvili L. 8. Papuashvili G. 5. Salukvadze L. 1. Sciapanau R. (G)
30. Arthur J. 7. Gogoberishvili B. 26. Gulisashvili I. 28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 15. Kapanadze T. 35. Mzwakali B. 16. Skhirtladze D. 23. Tolordava L. 17. Vekua G.
Coaches
Ljubenovic Z.
Mikadze G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kharebashvili G. ⚽, Zoidze S. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Mujiri D. ⚽, Ardazishvili R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Skhirtladze D. ↑,
46', Parunashvili L. ↓, Vekua G. ↑,
46', Kamladze I. ↓, Tolordava L. ↑,
56', Mujiri D. ↓, Adeyeye R. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Tsintsadze M. ⚽, Ardazishvili R. (A),
62', Ekongolo F. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
62', Kukhianidze S. ↓, Mzwakali B. ↑,
70', Kharebashvili G. 🟨,
72', Kharebashvili G. ↓, Gagnidze O. ↑,
72', Zoidze S. ↓, Gotsiridze D. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Gotsiridze D. ⚽,
81', Skrypnyk I. ↓, Osikmashvili L. ↑,
81', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Chochia O. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Tolordava L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gagra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).