Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Tamaz Stepania Stadium (Bolnisi)


	Sioni Bolnisi		Gagra

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.29	3.45	2.8
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.27	3.32	2.8
	2.3	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)	3.32 ↑ (3)	2.75 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sioni Bolnisi
39.9%

Draw
27.2%

Gagra
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sioni Bolnisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sioni Bolnisi - Gagra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Isiani L. (C) 15. Koripadze G. 4. Nozadze L. 36. Rekhviashvili G. 24. Iashvili N. 22. Devdariani A. 6. Nozadze N. 30. Gwishiani G. 16. Kapanadze T. 23. Tsirdava G. 29. Makatsaria T.	1. Vorobey O. (C) 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 5. Tsintsadze M. 34. Santos Porfirio A. J. 26. Gabiskiria B. 8. Papuashvili G. 23. Kimadze G. 9. Lomtadze G. 7. Kavtaradze N. 15. Aptsiauri O. 33. Kharebashvili G.
Substitutes
27. Chaganava L. 9. Khabelashvili I. 20. Kurdadze L. 8. Mukbaniani G. 21. Potskhveria I. 19. Sepiashvili K. (G) 7. Shonia T. 10. Sichinava D. 11. Ugrekhelidze G.	12. Bediashvili G. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 35. Gogoladze G. 30. Nadareishvili G. 18. Ouloguem A. 16. Tchamba C. 20. Ubilava G.
Coaches
Tchelidze G.	Khachidze V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Makatsaria T. ⚽, Nozadze N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lomtadze G. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
51', Aptsiauri O. 🟨,
62', Aptsiauri O. ↓, Nadareishvili G. ↑,
67', Makatsaria T. ↓, Sichinava D. ↑,
67', Tsirdava G. ↓, Chaganava L. ↑,
71', Gwishiani G. ↓, Mukbaniani G. ↑,
78', Gabiskiria B. ↓, Gegetchkori L. ↑,
79', Mukbaniani G. 🟨,
81', Nozadze N. ↓, Kurdadze L. ↑,
81', Kapanadze T. ↓, Shonia T. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Tchamba C. ⚽,
85', Kharebashvili G. ↓, Gogoladze G. ↑,
85', Papuashvili G. ↓, Ouloguem A. ↑,
90+2', Mukbaniani G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sioni Bolnisi won 2.

Sioni Bolnisi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gagra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sioni Bolnisi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sioni Bolnisi won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sioni Bolnisi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sioni Bolnisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
30.11.24	Sioni Bolnisi - WIT Georgia	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Spaeri - Sioni Bolnisi	2:3 ✺
22.11.24	Sioni Bolnisi - Gareji Sagarejo	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Sioni Bolnisi - Kolkheti Khobi	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLW
- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
08.12.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Gagra - Iberia 1999	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gagra	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Gagra - Telavi	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
04.11.22	Gagra - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1
01.09.22	Sioni Bolnisi - Gagra	0:0
22.05.22	Gagra - Sioni Bolnisi	1:2
03.04.22	Sioni Bolnisi - Gagra	2:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.09.21	Gagra - Sioni Bolnisi	1:1
18.06.21	Sioni Bolnisi - Gagra	0:1
17.04.21	Gagra - Sioni Bolnisi	1:0

Sioni Bolnisi - Gagra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide