Match Info

Date: 16 February 2021, Tuesday


	Sutton United		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.25
	1.36	4.6	7.25
	1.5	4.25	5.5
	1.58	3.75	4.9
	1.45	4.16	5.86
	1.6	3.7	5.25
	1.57	4.2	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	4.14 ↓ (4.26)	5.64 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
61.4%

Draw
22.3%

Dover Athletic
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

18.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Sutton United - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sutton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dover is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sutton is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
13.02.21	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
06.02.21	Sutton United - Woking	0:1 ✺
English National League
02.02.21	Stockport County - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
30.01.21	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Torquay United - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLT
- Dover Athletic
English National League
30.01.21	Yeovil Town - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
26.01.21	Dover Athletic - Barnet	3:1 ✺
23.01.21	Dover Athletic - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Wrexham - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.01.21	Dover Athletic - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.08.19	Sutton United - Dover Athletic	1:2
27.04.19	Dover Athletic - Sutton United	3:0
25.09.18	Sutton United - Dover Athletic	2:2
10.02.18	Dover Athletic - Sutton United	0:1
03.10.17	Sutton United - Dover Athletic	2:2
29.11.16	Sutton United - Dover Athletic	0:6
04.10.16	Dover Athletic - Sutton United	3:1

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